Quantitative, scenario and probability analysis, including Monte Carlo simulation where required by the engagement, LP/GP capital drawdowns, and multi-currency debt architectures for high-ticket co-productions and regional media funds.
This modeling service is designed for private equity firms, venture capital partners, sovereign wealth media offices, and high-budget co-production leads seeking mathematical, due-diligence ready projections.
Traditional film models rely on deterministic projections—they assume a flat $10M in sales and call it a day. In institutional finance, single point estimates are considered unusable. We build probabilistic financial models. Using scenario and probability analysis, we calculate return probability envelopes (P10, P50, P90) across hundreds of varying parameters (VOD growth rates, theatrical box office, interest rate spreads), giving LPs a granular understanding of downside risk and upside yield.
The starting $2,995 package is structured for a 10-film slate. More complex funds, co-productions, financing structures, or larger slates require a custom quote.
This premium tier is designed for institutional-scale co-productions, multi-jurisdictional studio slates, media funds, and custom GP/LP joint venture models. It incorporates complex debt facilities, mezzanine financing, and custom recoupment waterfall logic.
This represents an institutional profit-distribution structure. It calculates capital distributions based on specific internal rate of return (IRR) or multiple on invested capital (MOIC) hurdles, transitioning equity payouts from Limited Partners (LPs) to General Partners (GPs) as hurdles are surpassed.
Yes. We build dynamic, scenario and probability analysis, including Monte Carlo simulation where required by the engagement inside Microsoft Excel to analyze probability distributions. This models P10, P50, and P90 risk thresholds to assist institutional underwriters in analyzing downside coverage.
Yes. We can design comprehensive, multi-currency models (such as USD, GBP, EUR, and CAD) incorporating specific international co-production treaties, regional state tax credits, and discount/interest rates for pre-sales and gap debt lending.
Yes. Structured for transparent investor and lender review, with clearly traceable formulas, assumptions, outputs, and scenario logic.